Kentucky Senate race continues to look like a toss up
PPP’s newest Kentucky poll finds that Mitch McConnell is the least popular Senator in the country and as a result Alison Lundergan Grimes is remaining very competitive with him, even as Democrats have struggled nationally over the last couple months.
Only 31% of voters approve of the job McConnell is doing to 61% who disapprove. He’s only on narrowly positive ground with Republicans at 47/41, and he meets with nearly universal disapproval from independents (22/66) and Democrats (19/75). Attack ads in recent months have taken their toll on Grimes’ image too- where in May she had a 34/24 favorability rating, now she’s dropped a net 16 points to 31/37. She was at almost break even with Republicans in the spring at 26/30 but is now at 10/53.
McConnell leads Grimes just 43/42 head to head. McConnell’s 43% standing is the same as where we found him in October, while Grimes has seen a slight decline in her support from its previous 45% mark. As unpopular as McConnell is, it’s helping his cause that Barack Obama is just as bad off with a 31% approval rating to 64% of voters disapproving of him.
If Matt Bevin was somehow able to snag the Republican nomination from McConnell he would lead Grimes by the same one point margin, at 39/38. Bevin will have to come from behind in the primary though. Right now McConnell has a 53/26 advantage over him. McConnell is theoretically vulnerable. Primary voters say by a 42/39 margin that they’d like ‘someone more conservative’ to be the GOP nominee next year. Voters identifying themselves as ‘very conservative’ prefer someone else 55/31.
Full results here